YOE: 10+
Univ: tier-1.5 (basically top 10 but not an old IIT)
offers:
MICROSOFT-
offer date- Nov 2024
location: Hyderabad
base: 60Lpa (pf incl.)
perf: 15%(0-30)
level: L64
stocks: 180k US$/4yrs
reloc: 5.5L one-time
TC: ~1.05cr + MSFT benefits
misc:
NP - 45days

Small growing yet profitable Services Company, good clientele
base: 70L(revised from 60L) (pf incl)
perf: 12L(revised from 10L)
location: Remote
level: Sr. Staff Engg
TC: 82L, no employee benefits
misc:
NP - 3 months

MSFT BGV has been running for ages now, and I am mid-way my NP already, until my employer spoke about retaining me.
However, this is the last week I should get back to them If I am keen.

Dear LC Community, kindly guide me. If I don't accept the retention offer, there'd be no looking back onto my current employer. And w.r.t Microsoft, their BGV has had questions raised in the process so far about me having input wrong dates intentionally, and a gap I have to basically hide a 2mon long employment that didn't unfold well.

Dilemma- I'm 4mons old in current company, it is going great thence the retention. Furthermore, I haven't heard anything from MSFT BGV p.o.v despite 30days+ already and actually fear an offer rescind. That ways, if I don't accept the retention, I'll be the ultimate loser. And if I accept and MSFT unfolds on a good note thereafter, it'd be a catch 22 on my ethics.

HELP!